Aktueller Kommentar November 2024
Counting Climate Finance or: How to Answer the 300 Billion Dollar Question
Austria's journey in tracking and reporting climate finance offers a microcosm of the broader challenges faced globally.
By Hedwig Riegler
It’s been COP time again. In the UN’s annual Climate Change Conference of Parties (COP), political representatives from across the world come together to measure progress and negotiate the best ways to address climate change. This year, they met in Baku, the capital city of Azerbaijan. The outcome of this year’s summit was expected to be an ambitious new climate finance goal, among other points. But the negotiations proved to be tough.
There was quick agreement on uniform rules for a global carbon market, an advance considered by many to have been overdue. Emission targets and phasing out fossil fuels remained contentious, however. In the area of climate finance, developing countries had demanded up to $1.3 trillion annually. The COP parties were able to agree on a compromise of $300 billion after long drawn-out negotiations. But what does this actually mean?
Let’s take a step back. In 2009, the Copenhagen Accord set forth a bold commitment: developed countries pledged to collectively mobilise $100 billion a year by 2020 to address the needs of developing countries in mitigating and adapting to climate change – a global problem mainly caused by the industrialised world. “New and additional” funding to be “mobilised” by developed countries was to come from a "wide variety of sources, public and private, bilateral and multilateral, including alternative sources of finance."
More than a decade later, however, uncertainty looms over whether this goal was achieved. According to the OECD, which tracks progress at the request of donor countries, the 100 bn goal was achieved in 2022 for the first time through a mix of bilateral and multilateral public contributions, export credits and mobilised private capital. A lack of clear definitions and standardised measurement methods, however, has led to competing ways of tracking climate finance. This problematic situation is discussed in more detail in three articles here.
Austria's Struggle with Definitions
Austria provides a case in point. Beginning in 2012, the country embarked on systematically collecting data to fulfil its international reporting obligations. However, two major definitional questions soon emerged: First, what does ‘mobilised’ funding mean? At what point can we say funds have been ‘mobilised’—when they are promised, allocated, or spent?
Second, what constitutes ‘new and additional’ funding? Should climate finance be separate from existing Official Development Assistance (ODA), or can it be counted within ODA as long as it is directed towards climate objectives? Including ODA in climate finance totals can inflate figures, while excluding it may understate the contribution. Different answers to these questions can yield vastly differing results.
Faced with these ambiguities, Austria had to make decisions to establish a workable reporting system. It chose to define ‘mobilising’ as commitments—the volume of finance contracts signed. On ‘new and additional’ Austria decided to include ODA in its climate finance reporting. Since climate goals were meant to be ‘mainstreamed’ into ODA portfolios since the mid-1990s anyway, there was an inherent overlap that couldn't be ignored.
To harmonise its reporting, Austria aligned its data collection with the OECD's Development Assistance Committee (DAC) system. This included using the DAC's ‘Rio Markers’ to identify projects with climate mitigation and adaptation objectives. Projects are quantified based on these markers: those marked as ‘significant objective’ have been counted at 50% of their committed amount, while ‘primary objective’ projects have been counted at 100%.
The Cost of Ambiguity
Despite these efforts, Austria faced challenges in ensuring its figures accurately reflected its climate finance contributions. One issue was projects that addressed both mitigation and adaptation goals, risking double counting if not carefully managed. Austria developed specific quantification methods to avoid this, but acknowledged that these were estimates rather than precise calculations.
Furthermore, the lack of international harmonisation meant that Austria's approach differed from other countries. Some nations reported on disbursements instead of commitments and applied different percentages to projects marked as ‘significant’. And, unlike other provider countries, Austria so far has not included market-term export credits in its climate finance (since their focus on mitigation/adaptation goals is not clearly documented). This inconsistency, and others, make international aggregation of climate finance figures ‘problematic’ to say the least.
Austria’s contribution to climate finance 2018-2022
Source: BMK, author’s calculations
Why Definitions Matter
The lack of clarity affects not only statistical accuracy but also has real-world implications. Without clear, internationally agreed definitions and methodologies, tracking progress towards the new climate finance goals currently set at the COP again will result in figures that cannot be trusted. The absence of standardised reporting leads to numbers that are incomparable and unreliable, undermining efforts to hold countries accountable and damaging the relationship between recipients and providers.
The old adage "What isn't measured properly, won't be managed properly" applies to climate finance as well. This reasoning, echoing management thinker Peter Drucker's famous words, highlights a key problem in the global efforts to combat climate change and is underscored by Austria's experience: Ambiguity leads to incorrect information and thus hampers policy decisions, obscures funding gaps, and diminishes trust both in international commitments and among international partners. If countries cannot agree on what counts as climate finance, how can they effectively collaborate to address the challenges of climate change?
Moving Forward
To avoid repeating the mistakes made, future climate finance targets must be specified precisely from the outset. This includes: (i) clear definitions: establishing what counts as climate finance, including what financial transaction to count (commitments or disbursements or both, net or gross?), and clarifying whether ODA is included; (ii) standardised reporting obligations: agreeing on consistent methodologies and variables for data collection and reporting; (iii) international monitoring: assigning responsibility to an international body to manage the development of standards and compliance with the rules established.
The OECD’s DAC Recommendation on Good Pledging Practice offers guidance on these steps. By adhering to such recommendations, the international community could build a robust framework for measuring and managing climate finance effectively. On a side note, the millions spent on developing disparate national reporting systems could be better utilised if guided by a stringent international standard.
Climate finance commitments, such as those negotiated in Baku, should not just be grand gestures. They should be underpinned by a framework that ensures sound measurement. Only then can we expect that funds will be mobilised to effectively address the pressing needs of developing countries and make meaningful progress in the fight against climate change.
Hedwig Riegler is the former Chair of the OECD/DAC's Working Party on Development Finance Statistics and was Head of Statistics at the Austrian Development Agency.